unacademy 04th January 2019 Important Editorial Discussion(Deterrence or Danger?) Presented By: Prabhakar Jha
INS Arihant INS Arihant weighing 6000 tonnes is powered by an 83 MW pressurized light water nuclear reactor. It will be armed with the K-15 Sagarika missiles with a range of 750 km and eventually with the much longer range K-4 missiles. Arihant is capable of carrying nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles, the class referred to as Ship Submersible Ballistic Nuclear. SSBNs are designed to prowl the deep ocean waters carrying nuclear weapons and provide an assured "second strike" capability- the capability to strike back after being hit by nuclear weapons first. Second strike capability is particularly important for India as it had committed to a 'No-First-Use' policy as part of its "Nuclear Doctrine"
Importance of INS Arihant . Only a few countries (United States, Russia, China, India, France, United Kingdom) have the capability of building a nuclear submarine, arming it with nuclear-tipped missiles and deploying it operationally. . As a nation committed to "no first use" (NFU), it is of critical importance that there should never be a doubt about the credibility of India's nuclear deterrent. It is the iron-clad guarantee of a swift, devastating response that will deter our adversaries from contemplating a first-strike. . Apart from its strategic significance, INS Arihant is a live example of how the "Make in India" vision has been actualized. The Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) programme, under which it was built, mobilized a large number of major and minor private-sector companies (including MSMEs), which contributed to the programme by mastering esoteric technologies, to design and fabricate systems for this vessel The ATV project has created a gene-pool which will contribute ever-increasing indigenous content to the programme in years ahead.
Arihant's Missing Links . There is no clarity on whether the first deterrence patrol of INS Arihant had nuclear-tipped missiles on board. If not, the deterrence patrol would have been intended for political purposes devoid of any real deterrent utility. Without nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles on board the INS Arihant, it might not be any more useful than an ordinary nuclear-powered attack submarine (SSN) Even if INS Arihant had nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles on board, it is not clear what ranges they would cover. Reports suggest that it had the 750 km range K-15 missiles on board, which is insufficient to reach key targets in, China or Pakistan unless it gets close to their waters, which would then make the Indian SSBN itself a target. . While the K-4 missile (3,500 km range) currently under development would give the country's sea deterrent the necessary range vis- -vis its adversaries, INS Arihant would not be able to carry them on board. The Navy would require bigger SSBNs (S-4 and S-5) to carry the K-4 ballistic missiles. In other words, deterring India's adversaries using the naval leg of its nuclear forces is a work in progress at this point in time. . The objective of India's nuclear planners is to achieve seamless and continuous sea deterrence, one SSBN with limited range is far from sufficient. Given the adversaries' capabilities in tracking, monitoring and surveillance, India's SSBNs, it would need to invest in at least four more.
Maintaining a huge nuclear force and its ancillary systems, in particular, the naval leg, would eventually prove to be extremely expensive. Finally, the naval leg of the nuclear triad also poses significant command and control challenges. As a matter of fact, communicating with SSBNs without being intercepted by the adversaries' tracking systems while the submarines navigate deep and far-flung waters is among the most difficult challenges in maintaining an SSBN fleet. Until such sophisticated communication systems are eventually put in place, India will have to do with shallower waters or focus on bastion control (bastion host is a special purpose computer on a network specifically designed and configured to withstand attacks), which in some ways reduces the deterrence effect of SSBNs, as bastions would be closer to the ports.
Apart from these, there are arguments stating India does not gain anything by escalating the nuclear arms race in the region with INS Arihant. . It has been universally recognized that the sole justification for having nuclear weapons is their deterrence . The initiation of a nuclear attack would mean utter destruction, not just for the two parties involved but also . The Americans got away with their bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, however controversial it was because value. If ever a nuclear bomb has to be used, it has destroyed its raison d' tre. for regions far beyond they had a monopoly of nukes at the time. Today, the situation is vastly different and far more dangerous. If nuclear weapons fail to deter the outbreak of war involving the use of such weapons, they have disastrously failed in their deterrence mission. . Whether the external interventions succeed or not in preventing a major war, the target country would have . Since Pakistan is still a long way away from having the naval leg of the triad, India's land and air-based nukes China is far ahead of India in many respects. It has more warheads and more nuclear-powered submarines. ample time to disperse its land and air-based nuclear assets. The naval leg does not seem indispensable. are enough as a deterrent. Both India and China have repeatedly declared adherence to the no-first-use doctrine. So there is no justification for acquiring the naval leg of the triad. . However, this strategic function makes little sense in the modern Indian context. There is no realistic threat, which the Arihant could counter, that could wipe out India's existing nuclear deterrent.
GS And GA faculty @ Mahendra's Coaching Institute. Teaching Polity, and international relations for 7 years