On the night of November 8, 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced that Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes — 86 per cent of all currency notes in circulation in value — would no longer be treated as a legal tender.
Demonetization is an act of the government which eliminates the legal tender status of a currency unit in circulation. All the currencies issued by RBI have often been used as a monetary tender because the value they carry is promised by RBI and once the worth has been demonetised/recalled/revoked, the currency note cannot be used.
Globally, the central banks follow a practice wherein older currency notes are recalled and new currency notes with enhanced security measures are issued to overcome the threat of counterfeit currency.
As stated above, the very basis of implementing demonetization is typically to curb all the malpractices happening within the world and bring forward a fair and equal economy. The causes of such an extreme and sudden act in the economy can be as follows:
1. To tackle the menace of black money and counterfeit currency.
2. To manoeuvre towards cashless transactions.
3. To counterbalance the present economic condition.
4. To regulate situations such as inflation and to boost the economy.
The main impact of demonetization is on the households and the banking sector.
Households have to submit all of their cash in the form of the ceased legal tender and the banking sector has the burden of building the premises for all of this to happen.
All the sectors of the economy witness changes in their working, which sometimes do and sometimes do not turn out to work in their favour.
We will study the negative and positive effects of this financial decision sector-wise.
The positive effects of demonetization have been mainly focused on the long-term achievement of certain goals. The following are certain examples that explain the aftermath of demonetization.
Government
Every government has to make sure that the economy runs in an organised manner and multiplies with the help of the credit system. Demonetization reduces liability for the government by decreasing the risk and liability of liquid currency floating in the economy. Handling and overseeing online transactions is far easier than taking care of the cash floating in the economy. Hence, demonetization reduces this liability by removing certain notes from floating unnecessarily in the economy.
The negative impact of demonetisation is visible in the economy as it impacts the sectors in the short run massively but ultimately helps them in the long run. The following are certain sectors that have been adversely impacted due to the decision of demonetization.
If the measure of demonetization is implemented efficiently, then a higher collection of taxes, higher investments in the market, price corrections, improvement of India in some of the international rankings, prevention of corruption practices, etc. can be expected. These are some of the reasons why people applaud this measure of the government, although they are facing many difficulties.
Since the past century, governments across the world have been taking the decision of demonetization. However, despite the differences in the currencies demonetised, the objectives of removing black money, stopping illegal activities, and bringing currency into the mainstream largely remain the same. Though the decision might not have been very convenient to the general population, it had the national interest and economic growth at its core. In the long run, both positive and negative impact will be seen on the economy and its sectors, but the positive effects of demonetization may outweigh the negative impact.
After the demonetization of certain currencies, some sectors were not majorly affected, like Pharma, FMCG, Education, Agriculture, Hospitality and Telecommunication from an equity market-oriented approach. This move is positive for the Banking and Infrastructure sector in the medium to long term but results in negative effects for Real Estate, Customer durables, and Luxury items in the near to medium term. However, as stated before, in the long term, it is going to have the nation’s best interest in mind and make the economy stronger.