Daily News Analysis ‘Indian Rupee: Depreciation, Appreciation, and External Sector Vulnerabilities’ : 15 May

Daily News Analysis ‘Indian Rupee: Depreciation, Appreciation, and External Sector Vulnerabilities’ : 15 May

Why in News:

  • Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf and a widening Current Account Deficit (CAD) have triggered significant capital outflows and depreciatory pressure on the Indian Rupee.

Comparison: Depreciation vs. Appreciation of the Rupee

Feature

Depreciation

Appreciation

Definition

A fall in the value of the Rupee relative to foreign currencies (e.g., USD) in a market-determined system.

A rise in the value of the Rupee relative to foreign currencies in a market-determined system.

Market Trigger

Occurs when the demand for Dollars exceeds the supply (often due to capital flight or high import bills).

Occurs when the supply of Dollars exceeds the demand (often due to high FDI/FPI inflows).

Impact on Exports

Positive: Indian goods become cheaper for foreign buyers, potentially boosting export volume.

Negative: Indian goods become more expensive abroad, making exports less competitive.

Impact on Imports

Negative: Essential imports like crude oil and gold become more expensive, widening the trade deficit.

Positive: Imports become cheaper, which can help in cooling down “imported inflation.”

External Debt

Increases the burden of interest and principal repayments for companies with foreign loans.

Decreases the cost of servicing external commercial borrowings.

Policy Response

RBI may sell Dollars from reserves or raise interest rates to attract foreign capital.

RBI may buy Dollars to prevent excessive strengthening that could hurt exporters.